AS Eupen 0-1 Lokeren-Temse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
21%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.07
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.81
6+ Goals
9%
16.55
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.81 — our 26% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.1pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Eupen EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokeren-Temse EU Bookmakers 25%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
2.45/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.08
+57% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / +63%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 74%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
26.0 Crosses 12.5
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Eupen
0-1
AWAY Lokeren-Temse
1.27 xG 0.96
60% Ball Possession 40%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 1
424 Passes 251
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 16
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AS Eupen vs Lokeren-Temse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokeren-Temse edged past AS Eupen 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was AS Eupen at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, AS Eupen had 60% of the ball to Lokeren-Temse's 40%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 1.27 to 0.96.

What was the final score of AS Eupen vs Lokeren-Temse?

AS Eupen 0-1 Lokeren-Temse in the Belgium - 1st Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Eupen vs Lokeren-Temse?

Before kick-off our model rated a AS Eupen win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split AS Eupen 51%, draw 28%, Lokeren-Temse 22%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AS Eupen) ✗ Over 2.5
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