RFC Liege 1-1 Club Brugge II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.05
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.65
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.31
6+ Goals
12%
11.85
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.31 — our 27% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
45%
+3.1pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.8pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+1.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.1pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RFC Liege EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Brugge II EU Bookmakers 32%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.18/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.54
-39% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
16.3 Crosses 14.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RFC Liege
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Club Brugge II
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.19 xG 1.43
40% Ball Possession 60%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
252 Passes 432
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
30 Box Touches 19
27 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
12.04.2024 Club Brugge II Club Brugge II 1-2 HT 0-1 RFC Liege RFC Liege BEL2
15.09.2023 RFC Liege RFC Liege 3-1 HT 1-1 Club Brugge II Club Brugge II BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RFC Liege
1-1
AWAY Club Brugge II
2.35 xG 2.19
37% Ball Possession 63%
21 Total Shots 20
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
223 Passes 454
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
42 Box Touches 34
23 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH RFC Liege vs Club Brugge II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RFC Liege and Club Brugge II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was RFC Liege at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, RFC Liege had 37% of the ball to Club Brugge II's 63%, shots finished 21-20, expected goals 2.35 to 2.19.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, RFC Liege had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for RFC Liege and 1.00 for Club Brugge II.

What was the final score of RFC Liege vs Club Brugge II?

RFC Liege 1-1 Club Brugge II in the Belgium - 1st Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RFC Liege vs Club Brugge II?

Before kick-off our model rated a RFC Liege win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split RFC Liege 48%, draw 22%, Club Brugge II 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (RFC Liege), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (RFC Liege) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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