Nykobing 2-2 Thisted — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
39%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.63
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.46
6+ Goals
8%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-5.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
39%
Away Win
35%
+4.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.5pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nykobing EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Thisted EU Bookmakers 38%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +19%
1.17/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.24
-11% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
261 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nykobing
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Thisted
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.08.2024 Thisted Thisted 1-0 HT 1-0 Nykobing Nykobing DAN2
11.11.2023 Nykobing Nykobing 1-1 HT 1-0 Thisted Thisted DAN2
23.09.2023 Thisted Thisted 2-2 HT 2-1 Nykobing Nykobing DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nykobing
2-2
AWAY Thisted
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nykobing vs Thisted
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nykobing and Thisted couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Nykobing had 64% of the ball to Thisted's 36%, shots finished 13-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Thisted led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nykobing and 1.33 for Thisted.

What was the final score of Nykobing vs Thisted?

Nykobing 2-2 Thisted in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nykobing vs Thisted?

Before kick-off our model rated an Thisted win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nykobing 35%, draw 26%, Thisted 39%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Thisted) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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