27/10/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Avarta vs Sundby Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
BTTS No
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
31%
Draw
25%
35%
Away Win
38%
59%
Under 2.5
51%
41%
Over 2.5
49%
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
50%
BTTS No
47%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Avarta v Sundby — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Avarta
EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
Sundby
EU Bookmakers 42%
-10% /
-10%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-5% /
-5%
0.81/1.50
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/1.00
-45%
/
-8%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-37%
/
+30%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
11
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
5
342 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
336 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.5
Yellow Cards
–
Avarta vs Sundby Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Avarta
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Sundby
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
47%
Ball Possession
53%
6
Total Shots
7
2
Shots on Target
2
2
Corners
1
3
Yellow Cards
3
The Meetings
Avarta 1-2 Sundby — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Avarta
1-2
AWAY
Sundby
52%
Ball Possession
48%
11
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
1
4
Yellow Cards
1
POST-MATCH
Avarta vs Sundby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Sundby nicked a narrow win over Avarta 2-1 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 31% / 35% — and on the day Sundby made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Avarta had 52% of the ball to Sundby's 48%, shots finished 11-9.
What was the final score of Avarta vs Sundby?
Avarta 1-2 Sundby in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Avarta vs Sundby?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sundby win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Avarta 34%, draw 31%, Sundby 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sundby) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Sundby)
✗ Under 2.5
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