FC Lahti 1-0 Jaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.15
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.72
6+ Goals
9%
15.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 29% vs market 26.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.77
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
4%
14.25
X/1
15%
4.36
X/2
6%
6.93
X/X
19%
4.75
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
12%
5.26
2/X
7%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.1pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.3pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Lahti EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Jaro EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.29/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.41
-20% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
358 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Lahti
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Jaro
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
168 Passes 130
53% Pass Accuracy 49%
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.10.2024 Jaro Jaro 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
18.10.2015 Jaro Jaro 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
02.08.2015 FC Lahti FC Lahti 1-1 HT 1-1 Jaro Jaro FİN
14.05.2015 Jaro Jaro 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
28.09.2014 Jaro Jaro 0-4 HT 0-3 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
24.06.2014 FC Lahti FC Lahti 1-0 HT 1-0 Jaro Jaro FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Lahti
1-0
AWAY Jaro
78% Ball Possession 22%
27 Total Shots 1
11 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 0
576 Passes 77
86% Pass Accuracy 43%
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Lahti vs Jaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Lahti edged past Jaro 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Lahti as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FC Lahti had 78% of the ball to Jaro's 22%, shots finished 27-1.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Lahti had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Lahti and 0.83 for Jaro.

What was the final score of FC Lahti vs Jaro?

FC Lahti 1-0 Jaro in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Lahti vs Jaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Lahti win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split FC Lahti 44%, draw 30%, Jaro 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Lahti), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Lahti) ✓ Under 2.5
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