Jaro 2-0 FC Lahti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 23 Oct 2024

Jaro
2-0 HT 1-0
FC Lahti
📅23/10/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Finland - Veikkausliiga – 2024

Jaro vs FC Lahti Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
29%
2.83
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.51
Over 2.5
33%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.06
No
64%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
42%
2.25
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
5.48
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.25 — our 42% vs market 37.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.49
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.45
X/1
10%
4.84
X/2
8%
6.26
X/X
12%
3.43
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
20%
5.03
2/X
9%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.0pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.9pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.0pp
67%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.9pp
33%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.9pp
36%
BTTS Yes
44%
-9.0pp
64%
BTTS No
56%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jaro v FC Lahti — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jaro EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Lahti EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +1%
1.36/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.03
-4% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
– Crosses 18.8
– Yellow Cards 3.0

Jaro vs FC Lahti Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jaro
1W-3D-2L
AWAY FC Lahti
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
The Meetings
18.10.2015 Jaro Jaro 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
02.08.2015 FC Lahti FC Lahti 1-1 HT 1-1 Jaro Jaro FİN
14.05.2015 Jaro Jaro 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
28.09.2014 Jaro Jaro 0-4 HT 0-3 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
24.06.2014 FC Lahti FC Lahti 1-0 HT 1-0 Jaro Jaro FİN
23.04.2014 Jaro Jaro 2-1 HT 0-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN

Jaro 2-0 FC Lahti — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jaro
2-0
AWAY FC Lahti
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 7
130 Passes 168
49% Pass Accuracy 53%
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jaro vs FC Lahti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jaro saw off FC Lahti 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Jaro found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Jaro had 49% of the ball to FC Lahti's 51%, shots finished 9-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Lahti led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Jaro and 1.50 for FC Lahti.

What was the final score of Jaro vs FC Lahti?

Jaro 2-0 FC Lahti in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jaro vs FC Lahti?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jaro win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Jaro 37%, draw 29%, FC Lahti 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jaro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jaro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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