Haka 2-1 Inter Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
49%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.63
No
55%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.8
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.22
6+ Goals
10%
11.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.8 — our 31% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.85
1/2
7%
24.0
1/X
8%
13.2
X/1
7%
7.01
X/2
13%
4.76
X/X
12%
4.96
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
29%
2.81
2/X
5%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-2.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
49%
Away Win
45%
+3.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
57%
-12.4pp
55%
BTTS No
43%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haka EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 49%
+4% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -8%
1.09/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.81
+8% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -29%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 81%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.7
17.3 Crosses 25.7
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haka
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Inter Turku
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.27 xG 1.96
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
324 Passes 321
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 32
23 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.08.2024 Haka Haka 1-2 HT 0-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİK
19.06.2024 Haka Haka 0-0 HT 0-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
31.05.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 3-1 HT 2-0 Haka Haka FİN
08.07.2023 Haka Haka 2-2 HT 2-2 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
26.05.2023 Inter Turku Inter Turku 3-0 HT 1-0 Haka Haka FİN
28.09.2022 Inter Turku Inter Turku 0-1 HT 0-0 Haka Haka FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haka
2-1
AWAY Inter Turku
2.51 xG 2.15
42% Ball Possession 58%
18 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 7
285 Passes 435
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 39
30 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Haka vs Inter Turku
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haka edged past Inter Turku 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Inter Turku at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Haka had 42% of the ball to Inter Turku's 58%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 2.51 to 2.15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Turku led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Haka and 1.67 for Inter Turku.

What was the final score of Haka vs Inter Turku?

Haka 2-1 Inter Turku in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haka vs Inter Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Haka 27%, draw 24%, Inter Turku 49%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Inter Turku) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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