Polokwane City 1-0 Mamelodi Sundowns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 27 Oct 2024

Polokwane City
1-0 HT 0-0
Mamelodi Sundowns
📅27/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
South Afrika - Premier League – 2024/2025

Polokwane City vs Mamelodi Sundowns Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.09
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
50%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.67
Over 2.5
34%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.16
No
62%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.71
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
15%
4.31
6+ Goals
8%
21.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.71 — our 36% vs market 30.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
17%
+4.1pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.1pp
50%
Away Win
59%
-8.2pp
66%
Under 2.5
56%
+9.4pp
34%
Over 2.5
44%
-9.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.3pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Polokwane City v Mamelodi Sundowns — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polokwane City EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 62%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +1%
0.40/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/0.78
-40% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +80%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
222 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 83%
7.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.4
9.5 Crosses 14.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

Polokwane City vs Mamelodi Sundowns Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polokwane City
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.50 xG 2.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
234 Passes 526
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
9 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.08.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 HT 0-0 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAF8K
30.12.2023 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 0-0 HT 0-0 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFPSL
30.08.2023 Polokwane City Polokwane City 0-2 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
10.03.2021 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 4-0 HT 4-0 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAF8K
02.09.2020 Polokwane City Polokwane City 0-3 HT 0-2 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
21.12.2019 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 HT 0-0 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFPSL

Polokwane City 1-0 Mamelodi Sundowns — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polokwane City
1-0
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
1.64 xG 0.22
29% Ball Possession 71%
12 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 4
116 Passes 408
59% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 9
14 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Polokwane City vs Mamelodi Sundowns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polokwane City edged past Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Mamelodi Sundowns at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Polokwane City had 29% of the ball to Mamelodi Sundowns's 71%, shots finished 12-4, expected goals 1.64 to 0.22 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Polokwane City's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mamelodi Sundowns led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Polokwane City and 1.83 for Mamelodi Sundowns.

What was the final score of Polokwane City vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Polokwane City 1-0 Mamelodi Sundowns in the South Afrika - Premier League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polokwane City vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Polokwane City 21%, draw 29%, Mamelodi Sundowns 50%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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