Connahs Quay 2-1 Briton Ferry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.32
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.87
2-3 Goals
41%
1.94
4-5 Goals
25%
2.8
6+ Goals
8%
7.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
71%
-9.3pp
19%
Draw
18%
+0.9pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.3pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Connahs Quay EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Briton Ferry EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.22/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.80
-20% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +40%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
391 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Connahs Quay
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Briton Ferry
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
31.08.2024 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry 1-5 HT 1-1 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Connahs Quay
2-1
AWAY Briton Ferry
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Connahs Quay vs Briton Ferry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Connahs Quay nicked a narrow win over Briton Ferry 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Connahs Quay as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Connahs Quay had 63% of the ball to Briton Ferry's 37%, shots finished 16-10.

What was the final score of Connahs Quay vs Briton Ferry?

Connahs Quay 2-1 Briton Ferry in the Wales - Premier League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Connahs Quay vs Briton Ferry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Connahs Quay 62%, draw 19%, Briton Ferry 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Connahs Quay), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Connahs Quay) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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