Aberystwyth Town 2-4 The New Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 27 Oct 2024

Aberystwyth Town
2-4 HT 1-3
The New Saints
📅27/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-4 ✗ 2nd Score 0-3 ✗
Wales - Premier League – 2025/2026

Aberystwyth Town vs The New Saints Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
12.23
Draw
16%
8.78
Away
65%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
3.46
Over 2.5
53%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
No
63%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
8.4
2-3 Goals
36%
2.36
4-5 Goals
26%
2.38
6+ Goals
14%
4.04
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
38%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
5%
+14.5pp
16%
Draw
8%
+8.5pp
65%
Away Win
88%
-23.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
25%
+21.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
75%
-21.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aberystwyth Town v The New Saints — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aberystwyth Town EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY The New Saints EU Bookmakers 94%
+6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
0.68/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.09/0.57
-4% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +26%
29% Ball Possession 71%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
200 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 473 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.1

Aberystwyth Town vs The New Saints Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aberystwyth Town
1W-0D-5L
AWAY The New Saints
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
26% Ball Possession 74%
2 Total Shots 25
1 Shots on Target 13
1 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.09.2024 The New Saints The New Saints 2-0 HT 0-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
28.11.2023 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 1-3 HT 1-1 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
01.09.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 6-0 HT 2-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
02.12.2022 The New Saints The New Saints 11-0 HT 4-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
30.08.2022 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 0-2 HT 0-0 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
09.11.2021 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 1-0 HT 0-0 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
POST-MATCH Aberystwyth Town vs The New Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The New Saints saw off Aberystwyth Town 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Aberystwyth Town and 4.00 for The New Saints.

What was the final score of Aberystwyth Town vs The New Saints?

Aberystwyth Town 2-4 The New Saints in the Wales - Premier League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aberystwyth Town vs The New Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated an The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Aberystwyth Town 19%, draw 16%, The New Saints 65%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (The New Saints) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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