Seoul E-Land 1-2 Asan Mugunghwa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.09
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.78
6+ Goals
10%
16.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 31% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.6pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Seoul E-Land EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 32%
-18% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -16%
1.15/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.93
+0% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
313 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 72%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
18.2 Crosses 19.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Seoul E-Land
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.73 xG 0.98
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
272 Passes 177
67% Pass Accuracy 59%
21 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.07.2024 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 2-0 HT 0-0 Seoul E-Land Seoul E-Land GKOR2
27.04.2024 Seoul E-Land Seoul E-Land 5-0 HT 3-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
30.09.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 1-0 HT 0-0 Seoul E-Land Seoul E-Land GKOR2
31.07.2023 Seoul E-Land Seoul E-Land 0-0 HT 0-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
15.04.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 2-0 HT 1-0 Seoul E-Land Seoul E-Land GKOR2
05.10.2022 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 2-1 HT 1-0 Seoul E-Land Seoul E-Land GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Seoul E-Land
1-2
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
508 Passes 234
84% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Seoul E-Land vs Asan Mugunghwa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asan Mugunghwa nicked a narrow win over Seoul E-Land 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Seoul E-Land at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Seoul E-Land had 64% of the ball to Asan Mugunghwa's 36%, shots finished 12-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Asan Mugunghwa led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Seoul E-Land and 1.17 for Asan Mugunghwa.

What was the final score of Seoul E-Land vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Seoul E-Land 1-2 Asan Mugunghwa in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Seoul E-Land vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Seoul E-Land win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Seoul E-Land 44%, draw 26%, Asan Mugunghwa 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Seoul E-Land) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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