Gyeongnam FC 5-1 Seongnam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.43
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.47
6+ Goals
9%
13.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.43 — our 27% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
13%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-5.7pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.0pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gyeongnam FC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Seongnam EU Bookmakers 32%
-19% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
1.32/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.17
-5% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 78%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses 14.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gyeongnam FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Seongnam
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
332 Passes 348
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.07.2024 Seongnam Seongnam 1-4 HT 1-1 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
12.05.2024 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
26.08.2023 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
19.07.2023 Seongnam Seongnam 1-1 HT 1-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
14.05.2023 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 2-2 HT 1-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
24.11.2019 Seongnam Seongnam 1-2 HT 1-1 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gyeongnam FC
5-1
AWAY Seongnam
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
332 Passes 480
85% Pass Accuracy 90%
21 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gyeongnam FC vs Seongnam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gyeongnam FC ran out comfortable winners over Seongnam 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Gyeongnam FC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Gyeongnam FC had 42% of the ball to Seongnam's 58%, shots finished 14-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gyeongnam FC and 1.50 for Seongnam.

What was the final score of Gyeongnam FC vs Seongnam?

Gyeongnam FC 5-1 Seongnam in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gyeongnam FC vs Seongnam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gyeongnam FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gyeongnam FC 39%, draw 29%, Seongnam 32%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gyeongnam FC), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gyeongnam FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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