Al Duhail SC 1-1 Al Gharafa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
29%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.96
Over 2.5
59%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
6.87
2-3 Goals
42%
2.17
4-5 Goals
27%
2.47
6+ Goals
13%
4.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
63%
-13.3pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.9pp
29%
Away Win
18%
+11.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.8pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Duhail SC EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Gharafa EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
2.04/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.99
+11% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
399 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 78%
30.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
20.4 Crosses 18.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Duhail SC
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Al Gharafa
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.02 xG 2.23
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
387 Passes 297
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.03.2024 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC 1-4 HT 1-1 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
14.10.2023 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 0-2 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC KATYK
24.09.2023 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 3-2 HT 0-1 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC KAT
14.04.2023 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC KAT
04.01.2023 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
13.01.2022 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 2-4 HT 0-1 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Duhail SC
1-1
AWAY Al Gharafa
1.90 xG 0.71
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
490 Passes 383
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Duhail SC vs Al Gharafa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Duhail SC and Al Gharafa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Al Duhail SC at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Al Duhail SC had 56% of the ball to Al Gharafa's 44%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.90 to 0.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Duhail SC and 1.83 for Al Gharafa.

What was the final score of Al Duhail SC vs Al Gharafa?

Al Duhail SC 1-1 Al Gharafa in the Qatar League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Duhail SC vs Al Gharafa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Duhail SC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Al Duhail SC 50%, draw 22%, Al Gharafa 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Duhail SC), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Duhail SC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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