Soroksar 3-1 Ajka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.81
No
58%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.8pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.3pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.4pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Soroksar EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajka EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.46/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/0.97
+13% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
361 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Soroksar
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Ajka
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.02.2024 Soroksar Soroksar 1-3 HT 0-1 Ajka Ajka MAC2
30.07.2023 Ajka Ajka 1-1 HT 1-0 Soroksar Soroksar MAC2
02.04.2023 Ajka Ajka 2-0 HT 1-0 Soroksar Soroksar MAC2
05.10.2022 Soroksar Soroksar 2-0 HT 2-0 Ajka Ajka MAC2
01.05.2022 Soroksar Soroksar 1-3 HT 0-1 Ajka Ajka MAC2
21.11.2021 Ajka Ajka 1-2 HT 1-0 Soroksar Soroksar MAC2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Soroksar
3-1
AWAY Ajka
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Soroksar vs Ajka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Soroksar got the better of Ajka 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Soroksar as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Soroksar had 47% of the ball to Ajka's 53%, shots finished 14-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajka led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Soroksar and 1.67 for Ajka.

What was the final score of Soroksar vs Ajka?

Soroksar 3-1 Ajka in the Hungary - NB II on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Soroksar vs Ajka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Soroksar win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Soroksar 44%, draw 24%, Ajka 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Soroksar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Soroksar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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