Mosta 4-2 Zabbar St. Patrick — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.82
Draw
36%
3.35
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.8
Over 2.5
34%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
50%
-8.9pp
36%
Draw
26%
+10.0pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-1.0pp
66%
Under 2.5
52%
+14.9pp
34%
Over 2.5
48%
-14.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.8pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mosta EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-62% / +102% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mosta
4-2
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mosta vs Zabbar St. Patrick
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mosta got the better of Zabbar St. Patrick 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mosta as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mosta had 55% of the ball to Zabbar St. Patrick's 45%, shots finished 12-9.

What was the final score of Mosta vs Zabbar St. Patrick?

Mosta 4-2 Zabbar St. Patrick in the Malta - Premier League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mosta vs Zabbar St. Patrick?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mosta win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mosta 42%, draw 36%, Zabbar St. Patrick 22%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mosta) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mosta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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