Naxxar Lions 0-0 Marsaxlokk FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.48
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
56%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.82
Over 2.5
41%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.88
No
63%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
20%
-0.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
56%
Away Win
56%
+0.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
51%
+7.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
49%
-7.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
49%
-12.4pp
63%
BTTS No
51%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naxxar Lions EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Marsaxlokk FC EU Bookmakers 60%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.52/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/0.56
-43% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +36%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
253 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naxxar Lions
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Marsaxlokk FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
45% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.01.2024 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 0-0 HT 0-0 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
15.09.2023 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 5-1 HT 2-0 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naxxar Lions
0-0
AWAY Marsaxlokk FC
41% Ball Possession 59%
2 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Naxxar Lions vs Marsaxlokk FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naxxar Lions and Marsaxlokk FC fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Marsaxlokk FC at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, Naxxar Lions had 41% of the ball to Marsaxlokk FC's 59%, shots finished 2-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Marsaxlokk FC led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Naxxar Lions and 2.50 for Marsaxlokk FC.

What was the final score of Naxxar Lions vs Marsaxlokk FC?

Naxxar Lions 0-0 Marsaxlokk FC in the Malta - Premier League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naxxar Lions vs Marsaxlokk FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Marsaxlokk FC win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Naxxar Lions 19%, draw 25%, Marsaxlokk FC 56%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Marsaxlokk FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marsaxlokk FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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