Orkla 2-8 Melhus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 27 Oct 2024

Orkla
2-8 HT 1-3
Melhus
📅27/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
6.35
Draw
21%
5.28
Away
55%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
4.0
Over 2.5
64%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%
1.39
No
32%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
38%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
12%
+11.2pp
21%
Draw
16%
+5.8pp
55%
Away Win
72%
-17.0pp
36%
Under 2.5
22%
+14.2pp
64%
Over 2.5
78%
-14.2pp
68%
BTTS Yes
68%
+0.4pp
32%
BTTS No
32%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orkla EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Melhus EU Bookmakers 77%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
1.41/3.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/3.00
+20% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -59%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
210 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orkla
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Melhus
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
04.05.2024 Melhus Melhus 0-3 HT 0-2 Orkla Orkla NOR4
08.10.2022 Melhus Melhus 2-2 HT 0-0 Orkla Orkla NOR4
25.06.2022 Orkla Orkla 1-1 HT 1-0 Melhus Melhus NOR4
02.10.2021 Melhus Melhus 1-1 HT 1-0 Orkla Orkla NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orkla
2-8
AWAY Melhus
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 21
7 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Orkla vs Melhus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melhus swept aside Orkla 8-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 10 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Melhus as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 8-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (68%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Orkla had 40% of the ball to Melhus's 60%, shots finished 9-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Orkla had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Orkla and 1.00 for Melhus.

What was the final score of Orkla vs Melhus?

Orkla 2-8 Melhus in the Norway - 3rd Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orkla vs Melhus?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melhus win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Orkla 24%, draw 21%, Melhus 55%. The final score 2-8 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melhus), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Melhus) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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