Melhus 0-3 Orkla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 4 May 2024

Melhus
0-3 HT 0-2
Orkla
📅04/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
2.05
Draw
18%
3.94
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.98
Over 2.5
65%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.35
No
44%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
45%
+7.1pp
18%
Draw
22%
-3.9pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.1pp
35%
Under 2.5
30%
+4.8pp
65%
Over 2.5
70%
-4.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
70%
-14.1pp
44%
BTTS No
30%
+14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melhus EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Orkla EU Bookmakers 37%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.01/2.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/2.06
-52% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
375 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melhus
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Orkla
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2022 Melhus Melhus 2-2 HT 0-0 Orkla Orkla NOR4
25.06.2022 Orkla Orkla 1-1 HT 1-0 Melhus Melhus NOR4
02.10.2021 Melhus Melhus 1-1 HT 1-0 Orkla Orkla NOR4
POST-MATCH Melhus vs Orkla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orkla cruised past Melhus 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Melhus at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (65%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Melhus and 1.33 for Orkla.

What was the final score of Melhus vs Orkla?

Melhus 0-3 Orkla in the Norway - 3rd Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melhus vs Orkla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melhus win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Melhus 52%, draw 18%, Orkla 30%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Melhus), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Melhus) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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