Nardo 5-4 Lilleström II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.27
Draw
17%
5.71
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
4.0
Over 2.5
70%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.5
No
38%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
12%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
74%
-7.9pp
17%
Draw
15%
+2.3pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+5.5pp
30%
Under 2.5
22%
+8.0pp
70%
Over 2.5
78%
-8.0pp
62%
BTTS Yes
62%
-0.5pp
38%
BTTS No
38%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nardo EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Lilleström II EU Bookmakers 14%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
3.77/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/3.12
+22% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +0%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
442 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Nardo vs Lilleström II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nardo nicked a narrow win over Lilleström II 5-4. Half-time: 3-2. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nardo as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 5-4 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Nardo vs Lilleström II?

Nardo 5-4 Lilleström II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nardo vs Lilleström II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nardo win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Nardo 67%, draw 17%, Lilleström II 16%. The final score 5-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nardo), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nardo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR4 More Norway - 3rd Division
4 May 2024
13:30 Fyllingsdalen vs Floya Analysis →
15:00 Bjarg vs Askoy Analysis →
15:00 Os Turn Fotball vs Fana Analysis →
15:00 Vindbjart vs Pors Grenland Analysis →
15:00 Sandviken vs Forde Analysis →
16:00 Byasen vs Trygg/Lade Analysis →