Byasen 0-1 Trygg/Lade — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.53
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
15%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
61%
+6.0pp
18%
Draw
20%
-1.7pp
15%
Away Win
19%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Byasen EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Trygg/Lade EU Bookmakers 22%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.41/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/1.33
-6% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -78% / +76%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
284 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Byasen
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Trygg/Lade
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
20.08.2022 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade 0-1 HT 0-1 Byasen Byasen NOR4
09.04.2022 Byasen Byasen 4-2 HT 1-1 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Byasen
0-1
AWAY Trygg/Lade
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Byasen vs Trygg/Lade
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trygg/Lade edged past Byasen 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Byasen at 67% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Byasen had 58% of the ball to Trygg/Lade's 42%, shots finished 10-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Byasen had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Byasen and 1.00 for Trygg/Lade.

What was the final score of Byasen vs Trygg/Lade?

Byasen 0-1 Trygg/Lade in the Norway - 3rd Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Byasen vs Trygg/Lade?

Before kick-off our model rated a Byasen win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Byasen 67%, draw 18%, Trygg/Lade 15%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Byasen), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Byasen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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