04/05/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
Bjarg vs Askoy Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
No
41%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
23%
Draw
23%
33%
Away Win
26%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bjarg v Askoy — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Bjarg
EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY
Askoy
EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% /
-3%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+13%
/
-11%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
14
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
360 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
341 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
3.4
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Bjarg vs Askoy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Bjarg beat Askoy 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Bjarg as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Bjarg vs Askoy?
Bjarg 2-0 Askoy in the Norway - 3rd Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bjarg vs Askoy?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bjarg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bjarg 43%, draw 23%, Askoy 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bjarg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Bjarg)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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NOR4
More Norway - 3rd Division
4 May 2024