Vindbjart 1-2 Pors Grenland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
49%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
3.14
Over 2.5
70%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.35
No
34%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.0pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.7pp
49%
Away Win
52%
-2.3pp
30%
Under 2.5
28%
+2.0pp
70%
Over 2.5
72%
-2.0pp
66%
BTTS Yes
70%
-3.9pp
34%
BTTS No
30%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vindbjart EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Pors Grenland EU Bookmakers 56%
-41% / -41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
2.00/3.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.01/1.96
+15% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -15%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vindbjart
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Pors Grenland
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 22
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 9
19.08.2023 Vindbjart Vindbjart 2-4 HT 2-3 Pors Grenland Pors Grenland NOR4
29.05.2023 Pors Grenland Pors Grenland 2-1 HT 1-1 Vindbjart Vindbjart NOR4
03.09.2022 Vindbjart Vindbjart 0-3 HT 0-2 Pors Grenland Pors Grenland NOR4
11.06.2022 Pors Grenland Pors Grenland 4-1 HT 1-0 Vindbjart Vindbjart NOR4
POST-MATCH Vindbjart vs Pors Grenland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pors Grenland nicked a narrow win over Vindbjart 2-1 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pors Grenland as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Pors Grenland led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vindbjart and 3.25 for Pors Grenland.

What was the final score of Vindbjart vs Pors Grenland?

Vindbjart 1-2 Pors Grenland in the Norway - 3rd Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vindbjart vs Pors Grenland?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pors Grenland win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Vindbjart 30%, draw 21%, Pors Grenland 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pors Grenland), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pors Grenland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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