Staal Jorpeland 2-1 Madla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.23
No
36%
3.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
4%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.4pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.2pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.6pp
64%
BTTS Yes
77%
-13.2pp
36%
BTTS No
23%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Staal Jorpeland EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Madla EU Bookmakers 37%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
2.63/2.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/2.90
+23% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -32%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Staal Jorpeland
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Madla
3.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
02.05.2024 Madla Madla 2-5 HT 1-3 Staal Jorpeland Staal Jorpeland NOR4
31.08.2023 Madla Madla 3-3 HT 3-0 Staal Jorpeland Staal Jorpeland NOR4
09.06.2023 Staal Jorpeland Staal Jorpeland 3-2 HT 2-1 Madla Madla NOR4
POST-MATCH Staal Jorpeland vs Madla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Staal Jorpeland edged past Madla 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Staal Jorpeland as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Staal Jorpeland had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for Staal Jorpeland and 2.33 for Madla.

What was the final score of Staal Jorpeland vs Madla?

Staal Jorpeland 2-1 Madla in the Norway - 3rd Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Staal Jorpeland vs Madla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Staal Jorpeland win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Staal Jorpeland 43%, draw 22%, Madla 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Staal Jorpeland), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Staal Jorpeland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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