Surnadal 2-0 Tiller — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
43%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
3.59
Over 2.5
60%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.28
No
44%
3.34
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-1.1pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.3pp
42%
Away Win
40%
+2.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
24%
+16.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
76%
-16.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
74%
-17.6pp
44%
BTTS No
26%
+17.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Surnadal EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Tiller EU Bookmakers 45%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
4.00/2.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.67/1.85
+98% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
402 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Surnadal
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Tiller
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
04.05.2024 Tiller Tiller 4-1 HT 1-1 Surnadal Surnadal NOR4
POST-MATCH Surnadal vs Tiller
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Surnadal beat Tiller 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Tiller at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Surnadal vs Tiller?

Surnadal 2-0 Tiller in the Norway - 3rd Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Surnadal vs Tiller?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tiller win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Surnadal 36%, draw 21%, Tiller 42%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tiller) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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