Tiller vs Surnadal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tiller v Surnadal — Team-Based Signals
Tiller 4-1 Surnadal — Actual Match Statistics
Tiller cruised past Surnadal 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tiller as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Tiller had 57% of the ball to Surnadal's 43%, shots finished 13-6.
What was the final score of Tiller vs Surnadal?
Tiller 4-1 Surnadal in the Norway - 3rd Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tiller vs Surnadal?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tiller win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Tiller 66%, draw 18%, Surnadal 16%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tiller), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.