Samorin 1-2 Humenne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia - 2nd Division, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-2.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.5pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samorin EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Humenne EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +5%
1.79/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.28
+8% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +20%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
286 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samorin
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Humenne
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
23.03.2024 Humenne 1-0 HT 0-0 Samorin Samorin SLVK2
03.09.2023 Samorin Samorin 2-2 HT 1-0 Humenne SLVK2
01.04.2023 Humenne 3-2 HT 2-0 Samorin Samorin SLVK2
02.09.2022 Samorin Samorin 3-1 HT 1-0 Humenne SLVK2
27.02.2022 Samorin Samorin 1-1 HT 0-1 Humenne SLVK2
07.08.2021 Humenne 3-1 HT 2-1 Samorin Samorin SLVK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samorin
1-2
AWAY Humenne
56% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Samorin vs Humenne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Humenne nicked a narrow win over Samorin 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Samorin at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Samorin had 56% of the ball to Humenne's 44%, shots finished 6-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Humenne led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Samorin and 1.83 for Humenne.

What was the final score of Samorin vs Humenne?

Samorin 1-2 Humenne in the Slovakia - 2nd Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samorin vs Humenne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Samorin win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Samorin 47%, draw 28%, Humenne 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Samorin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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