Zemplin Michalovce 2-1 Skalica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.29
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.58
6+ Goals
11%
14.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.58 — our 24% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+4.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.5pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zemplin Michalovce EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Skalica EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.09/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.15
-15% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +41%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
296 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 73%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
19.2 Crosses 18.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zemplin Michalovce
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Skalica
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.04 xG 1.53
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
298 Passes 284
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
27.07.2024 Skalica Skalica 0-0 HT 0-0 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce SLVK
20.04.2024 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce 1-3 HT 1-1 Skalica Skalica SLVK
30.03.2024 Skalica Skalica 0-0 HT 0-0 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce SLVK
09.12.2023 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce 1-1 HT 1-1 Skalica Skalica SLVK
02.09.2023 Skalica Skalica 2-1 HT 0-1 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce SLVK
29.04.2023 Skalica Skalica 3-2 HT 2-1 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zemplin Michalovce
2-1
AWAY Skalica
1.80 xG 1.43
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 9
267 Passes 235
73% Pass Accuracy 68%
28 Box Touches 35
12 Crosses 29
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Zemplin Michalovce vs Skalica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zemplin Michalovce nicked a narrow win over Skalica 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Zemplin Michalovce made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Zemplin Michalovce had 50% of the ball to Skalica's 50%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.80 to 1.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Skalica led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Zemplin Michalovce and 1.50 for Skalica.

What was the final score of Zemplin Michalovce vs Skalica?

Zemplin Michalovce 2-1 Skalica in the Slovakia Super League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zemplin Michalovce vs Skalica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zemplin Michalovce win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Zemplin Michalovce 37%, draw 27%, Skalica 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zemplin Michalovce), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zemplin Michalovce) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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