Chiangrai United 1-2 Bangkok United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
4.48
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
54%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
31%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
19%
-1.4pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.6pp
54%
Away Win
58%
-4.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.6pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chiangrai United EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Bangkok United EU Bookmakers 62%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +2%
0.96/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/0.77
+11% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +48%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
287 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 82%
14.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.2
13.9 Crosses 21.9
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chiangrai United
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Bangkok United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.59 xG 1.45
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
228 Passes 372
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.03.2024 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 0-1 HT 0-1 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY
08.10.2023 Bangkok United Bangkok United 2-1 HT 0-1 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
04.03.2023 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 1-2 HT 1-0 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY
09.10.2022 Bangkok United Bangkok United 4-2 HT 1-1 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
19.03.2022 Bangkok United Bangkok United 3-0 HT 1-0 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
06.11.2021 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 0-4 HT 0-1 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chiangrai United
1-2
AWAY Bangkok United
0.61 xG 1.13
32% Ball Possession 68%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 6
151 Passes 421
68% Pass Accuracy 86%
9 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 10
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Chiangrai United vs Bangkok United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bangkok United edged past Chiangrai United 2-1 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bangkok United as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Chiangrai United had 32% of the ball to Bangkok United's 68%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 0.61 to 1.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bangkok United led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Chiangrai United and 2.67 for Bangkok United.

What was the final score of Chiangrai United vs Bangkok United?

Chiangrai United 1-2 Bangkok United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chiangrai United vs Bangkok United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bangkok United win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Chiangrai United 18%, draw 28%, Bangkok United 54%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bangkok United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bangkok United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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