Thai Port FC 1-1 Muang Thong United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.33
Over 2.5
51%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.8pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.3pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
39%
+10.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
61%
-10.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.9pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thai Port FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Muang Thong United EU Bookmakers 27%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.56/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/0.85
-23% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
380 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 78%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
21.5 Crosses 13.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thai Port FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Muang Thong United
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.03 xG 0.99
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
248 Passes 342
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.02.2024 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 4-3 HT 0-2 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United TAY
28.08.2023 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 1-3 HT 0-1 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAY
05.03.2023 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 2-3 HT 2-0 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United TAY
09.10.2022 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 0-0 HT 0-0 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAY
05.02.2022 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 2-1 HT 1-0 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAY
02.10.2021 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Thai Port FC
1-1
AWAY Muang Thong United
1.78 xG 1.23
53% Ball Possession 47%
20 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 4
269 Passes 232
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 16
28 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Thai Port FC vs Muang Thong United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thai Port FC and Muang Thong United shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Thai Port FC at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Thai Port FC had 53% of the ball to Muang Thong United's 47%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 1.78 to 1.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thai Port FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Thai Port FC and 1.50 for Muang Thong United.

What was the final score of Thai Port FC vs Muang Thong United?

Thai Port FC 1-1 Muang Thong United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thai Port FC vs Muang Thong United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thai Port FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Thai Port FC 48%, draw 25%, Muang Thong United 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Thai Port FC), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Thai Port FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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