Fenerbahçe 2-0 Bodrum FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.32
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.68
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.28
6+ Goals
11%
11.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.68 — our 26% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.54
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
24.0
X/1
22%
3.27
X/2
8%
19.25
X/X
7%
6.82
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
6%
16.65
2/X
6%
24.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
71%
-8.5pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.1pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.9pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Bodrum FK EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
2.37/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.07/0.81
+18% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
385 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 74%
33.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 4.0
21.2 Crosses 6.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fenerbahçe
2-0
AWAY Bodrum FK
1.58 xG 0.43
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 1
494 Passes 226
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
35 Box Touches 11
28 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fenerbahçe vs Bodrum FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fenerbahçe saw off Bodrum FK 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fenerbahçe as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Fenerbahçe had 66% of the ball to Bodrum FK's 34%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.58 to 0.43.

What was the final score of Fenerbahçe vs Bodrum FK?

Fenerbahçe 2-0 Bodrum FK in the Turkey - Super League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fenerbahçe vs Bodrum FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Fenerbahçe 63%, draw 19%, Bodrum FK 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fenerbahçe), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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