Alanyaspor 1-2 Antalyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.19
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.68
6+ Goals
10%
15.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 29% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.74
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
12%
4.47
X/2
10%
7.32
X/X
15%
4.54
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
12%
5.48
2/X
6%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Antalyaspor EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -11%
1.58/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.46
+8% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
367 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
21.0 Crosses 18.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alanyaspor
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Antalyaspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.49 xG 1.43
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
474 Passes 327
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.05.2024 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
05.01.2024 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
14.04.2023 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 3-1 HT 2-1 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
14.10.2022 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 3-2 HT 1-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
16.04.2022 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-3 HT 0-2 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
27.11.2021 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 3-0 HT 1-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alanyaspor
1-2
AWAY Antalyaspor
1.22 xG 1.11
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
352 Passes 311
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Alanyaspor vs Antalyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antalyaspor squeezed past Alanyaspor 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Alanyaspor at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Alanyaspor had 53% of the ball to Antalyaspor's 47%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.22 to 1.11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Antalyaspor led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Alanyaspor and 2.00 for Antalyaspor.

What was the final score of Alanyaspor vs Antalyaspor?

Alanyaspor 1-2 Antalyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alanyaspor vs Antalyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alanyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Alanyaspor 45%, draw 27%, Antalyaspor 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Alanyaspor) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TSL More Turkey - Super League
27 Oct 2024
13:30 Gaziantep FK vs Konyaspor Analysis →
19:00 Fenerbahçe vs Bodrum FK Analysis →