UNAN Managua 2-1 Real Madriz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 27 Oct 2025

📅27/10/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.91
Over 2.5
59%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.68
No
39%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
47%
+2.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.2pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
48%
-7.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
52%
+7.7pp
61%
BTTS Yes
56%
+5.3pp
39%
BTTS No
44%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UNAN Managua EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madriz EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.06/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/2.05
+38% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
328 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UNAN Managua
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Real Madriz
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2025 Real Madriz Real Madriz 0-3 HT 0-1 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
07.04.2022 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 3-1 HT 2-1 Real Madriz Real Madriz NİK
13.02.2022 Real Madriz Real Madriz 0-1 HT 0-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
22.10.2021 Real Madriz Real Madriz 0-1 HT 0-1 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
23.08.2021 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 3-5 HT 2-1 Real Madriz Real Madriz NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UNAN Managua
2-1
AWAY Real Madriz
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UNAN Managua vs Real Madriz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UNAN Managua squeezed past Real Madriz 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had UNAN Managua as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, UNAN Managua had 48% of the ball to Real Madriz's 52%, shots finished 11-17.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, UNAN Managua had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for UNAN Managua and 1.20 for Real Madriz.

What was the final score of UNAN Managua vs Real Madriz?

UNAN Managua 2-1 Real Madriz in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 27/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UNAN Managua vs Real Madriz?

Before kick-off our model rated a UNAN Managua win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split UNAN Managua 49%, draw 23%, Real Madriz 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UNAN Managua), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UNAN Managua) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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