Matagalpa 3-0 Jalapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 27 Oct 2025

📅27/10/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.07
Over 2.5
58%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.61
No
39%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.4pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.7pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
58%
+2.6pp
39%
BTTS No
42%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Matagalpa EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Jalapa EU Bookmakers 34%
-11% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
1.77/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.98
+14% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
327 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Matagalpa
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Jalapa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
17.08.2025 Jalapa Jalapa 0-2 HT 0-2 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
11.04.2024 Matagalpa Matagalpa 1-0 HT 0-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
12.02.2024 Jalapa Jalapa 2-1 HT 1-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
23.10.2023 Jalapa Jalapa 3-1 HT 1-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
21.08.2023 Matagalpa Matagalpa 0-1 HT 0-1 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
20.03.2023 Matagalpa Matagalpa 1-2 HT 1-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
POST-MATCH Matagalpa vs Jalapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Matagalpa cruised past Jalapa 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Matagalpa as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jalapa led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Matagalpa and 1.33 for Jalapa.

What was the final score of Matagalpa vs Jalapa?

Matagalpa 3-0 Jalapa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 27/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Matagalpa vs Jalapa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Matagalpa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Matagalpa 43%, draw 21%, Jalapa 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Matagalpa), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Matagalpa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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