Jalapa 0-2 Matagalpa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 17 Aug 2025

Jalapa
0-2 HT 0-2
Matagalpa
📅17/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Nikaragua - Premier League – 2025/2026

Jalapa vs Matagalpa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.19
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
41%
+3.5pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.2pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.3pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jalapa v Matagalpa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jalapa EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Matagalpa EU Bookmakers 36%
+9% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.17/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.68
-25% / +93% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
346 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Jalapa vs Matagalpa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jalapa
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Matagalpa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
11.04.2024 Matagalpa Matagalpa 1-0 HT 0-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
12.02.2024 Jalapa Jalapa 2-1 HT 1-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
23.10.2023 Jalapa Jalapa 3-1 HT 1-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
21.08.2023 Matagalpa Matagalpa 0-1 HT 0-1 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
20.03.2023 Matagalpa Matagalpa 1-2 HT 1-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
30.01.2023 Jalapa Jalapa 1-1 HT 0-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
POST-MATCH Jalapa vs Matagalpa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Matagalpa saw off Jalapa 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Jalapa at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jalapa had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Jalapa and 0.83 for Matagalpa.

What was the final score of Jalapa vs Matagalpa?

Jalapa 0-2 Matagalpa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jalapa vs Matagalpa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jalapa win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Jalapa 45%, draw 22%, Matagalpa 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Jalapa), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jalapa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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