Matagalpa 1-0 Jalapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 11 Apr 2024

📅11/04/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
47%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-3.2pp
22%
Draw
28%
-5.5pp
47%
Away Win
39%
+8.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Matagalpa EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Jalapa EU Bookmakers 43%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -53% / -53%
1.43/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/2.20
+2% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -38%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Matagalpa
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Jalapa
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
12.02.2024 Jalapa Jalapa 2-1 HT 1-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
23.10.2023 Jalapa Jalapa 3-1 HT 1-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
21.08.2023 Matagalpa Matagalpa 0-1 HT 0-1 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
20.03.2023 Matagalpa Matagalpa 1-2 HT 1-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
30.01.2023 Jalapa Jalapa 1-1 HT 0-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
11.09.2022 Jalapa Jalapa 2-1 HT 1-1 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
POST-MATCH Matagalpa vs Jalapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Matagalpa edged past Jalapa 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Jalapa at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jalapa led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Matagalpa and 1.83 for Jalapa.

What was the final score of Matagalpa vs Jalapa?

Matagalpa 1-0 Jalapa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 11/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Matagalpa vs Jalapa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jalapa win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Matagalpa 30%, draw 22%, Jalapa 47%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Jalapa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jalapa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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