Managua 0-1 Diriangen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 11 Apr 2024

📅11/04/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.17
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
42%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
28%
+7.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
42%
Away Win
46%
-4.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.6pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Managua EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Diriangen EU Bookmakers 50%
-10% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
1.14/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.06
-21% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +18%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
279 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Managua
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Diriangen
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.02.2024 Diriangen Diriangen 1-1 HT 1-0 Managua Managua NİK
22.10.2023 Diriangen Diriangen 1-0 HT 0-0 Managua Managua NİK
21.08.2023 Managua Managua 1-1 HT 0-1 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
06.04.2023 Diriangen Diriangen 2-2 HT 2-0 Managua Managua NİK
03.04.2023 Diriangen Diriangen 1-0 HT 1-0 Managua Managua NİK
13.02.2023 Managua Managua 0-1 HT 0-0 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Managua
0-1
AWAY Diriangen
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Managua vs Diriangen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diriangen nicked a narrow win over Managua 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Diriangen as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Managua had 48% of the ball to Diriangen's 52%, shots finished 14-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Diriangen led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Managua and 1.17 for Diriangen.

What was the final score of Managua vs Diriangen?

Managua 0-1 Diriangen in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 11/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Managua vs Diriangen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Diriangen win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Managua 35%, draw 23%, Diriangen 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Diriangen), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Diriangen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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NİK More Nikaragua - Premier League
11 Apr 2024
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