Walter Ferretti 1-1 UNAN Managua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 11 Apr 2024

📅11/04/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.76
Draw
33%
3.54
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.62
Over 2.5
35%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
51%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-8.6pp
33%
Draw
25%
+8.5pp
23%
Away Win
23%
-0.0pp
65%
Under 2.5
58%
+7.3pp
35%
Over 2.5
42%
-7.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.6pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walter Ferretti EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY UNAN Managua EU Bookmakers 26%
+7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +0%
2.23/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.99
+26% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -33%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walter Ferretti
2W-2D-2L
AWAY UNAN Managua
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.02.2024 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 1-0 HT 0-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
23.10.2023 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 1-0 HT 0-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
21.08.2023 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 0-0 HT 0-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
11.03.2023 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 2-1 HT 2-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
23.01.2023 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 0-0 HT 0-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
11.04.2022 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 4-1 HT 2-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
POST-MATCH Walter Ferretti vs UNAN Managua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walter Ferretti and UNAN Managua shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Walter Ferretti at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Walter Ferretti and 0.67 for UNAN Managua.

What was the final score of Walter Ferretti vs UNAN Managua?

Walter Ferretti 1-1 UNAN Managua in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 11/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walter Ferretti vs UNAN Managua?

Before kick-off our model rated a Walter Ferretti win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Walter Ferretti 44%, draw 33%, UNAN Managua 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Walter Ferretti), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Walter Ferretti) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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