KS Wieczysta Krakow 2-3 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 27 Oct 2025

📅27/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.61
Draw
17%
4.08
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.27
2-3 Goals
37%
1.97
4-5 Goals
30%
2.54
6+ Goals
11%
5.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
58%
-5.0pp
17%
Draw
21%
-3.9pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+8.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-1.9pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KS Wieczysta Krakow EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki EU Bookmakers 24%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
3.00/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.51
+54% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
406 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KS Wieczysta Krakow
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 4
29.03.2025 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 2-1 HT 1-0 KS Wieczysta Krakow KS Wieczysta Krakow POL2
01.09.2024 KS Wieczysta Krakow KS Wieczysta Krakow 1-1 HT 1-1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KS Wieczysta Krakow
2-3
AWAY Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 14
11 Shots on Target 11
9 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH KS Wieczysta Krakow vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki squeezed past KS Wieczysta Krakow 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was KS Wieczysta Krakow at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, KS Wieczysta Krakow had 65% of the ball to Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki's 35%, shots finished 18-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for KS Wieczysta Krakow and 1.50 for Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki.

What was the final score of KS Wieczysta Krakow vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki?

KS Wieczysta Krakow 2-3 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki in the Poland - 1st Division on 27/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KS Wieczysta Krakow vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki?

Before kick-off our model rated a KS Wieczysta Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split KS Wieczysta Krakow 53%, draw 17%, Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 30%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KS Wieczysta Krakow) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KS Wieczysta Krakow) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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