CD Castellon 0-0 Racing Ferrol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 27 Nov 2024

📅27/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.58
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.42
6+ Goals
8%
12.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 31% vs market 22.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.06
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.9
X/1
13%
3.84
X/2
6%
10.65
X/X
14%
5.45
2/1
8%
23.4
2/2
10%
8.4
2/X
7%
16.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
59%
-11.2pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.8pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.7pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Castellon EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Ferrol EU Bookmakers 21%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -12%
1.86/2.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.40
-9% / -61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
357 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 71%
31.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
22.0 Crosses 20.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Castellon
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Racing Ferrol
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
15.06.2008 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 1-0 HT 1-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2
20.01.2008 CD Castellon CD Castellon 1-0 HT 1-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
23.04.2006 CD Castellon CD Castellon 1-0 HT 1-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
20.11.2005 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 1-1 HT 0-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Castellon
0-0
AWAY Racing Ferrol
1.39 xG 1.34
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
359 Passes 154
82% Pass Accuracy 62%
29 Box Touches 18
31 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CD Castellon vs Racing Ferrol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Castellon and Racing Ferrol played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was CD Castellon at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, CD Castellon had 64% of the ball to Racing Ferrol's 36%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.39 to 1.34.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, CD Castellon had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for CD Castellon and 0.50 for Racing Ferrol.

What was the final score of CD Castellon vs Racing Ferrol?

CD Castellon 0-0 Racing Ferrol in the Spain - 2nd Division on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Castellon vs Racing Ferrol?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Castellon win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split CD Castellon 48%, draw 28%, Racing Ferrol 24%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CD Castellon) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Castellon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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İS2 More Spain - 2nd Division
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