Levante 4-2 Malaga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 27 Nov 2024

📅27/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.1
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.87
6+ Goals
9%
16.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 29% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.36
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.55
X/1
19%
4.07
X/2
11%
9.07
X/X
11%
4.66
2/1
12%
25.5
2/2
8%
7.25
2/X
6%
15.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.3pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levante EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Malaga EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
1.43/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.29
-16% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
315 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
19.6 Crosses 16.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levante
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Malaga
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.17 xG 0.84
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
296 Passes 321
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2023 Malaga Malaga 0-0 HT 0-0 Levante Levante İS2
04.12.2022 Levante Levante 1-0 HT 0-0 Malaga Malaga İS2
19.04.2018 Levante Levante 1-0 HT 0-0 Malaga Malaga İS1
01.12.2017 Malaga Malaga 0-0 HT 0-0 Levante Levante İS1
02.05.2016 Malaga Malaga 3-1 HT 1-1 Levante Levante İS1
30.12.2015 Levante Levante 0-1 HT 0-0 Malaga Malaga İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levante
4-2
AWAY Malaga
3.03 xG 0.74
48% Ball Possession 52%
20 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
390 Passes 430
88% Pass Accuracy 87%
30 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Levante vs Malaga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levante saw off Malaga 4-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Levante as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Levante had 48% of the ball to Malaga's 52%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 3.03 to 0.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Levante and 0.67 for Malaga.

What was the final score of Levante vs Malaga?

Levante 4-2 Malaga in the Spain - 2nd Division on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levante vs Malaga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levante win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Levante 50%, draw 26%, Malaga 24%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levante) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Levante) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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