Intercity Alicante 4-2 Sevilla II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 27 Nov 2024

📅27/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.14
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.82
6+ Goals
9%
16.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 33% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-6.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.2pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Intercity Alicante EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sevilla II EU Bookmakers 28%
-10% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -14%
1.12/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.82
-24% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Intercity Alicante
4-2
AWAY Sevilla II
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 3
8 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Intercity Alicante vs Sevilla II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Intercity Alicante got the better of Sevilla II 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Intercity Alicante as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Intercity Alicante had 44% of the ball to Sevilla II's 56%, shots finished 9-12.

What was the final score of Intercity Alicante vs Sevilla II?

Intercity Alicante 4-2 Sevilla II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Intercity Alicante vs Sevilla II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Intercity Alicante win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Intercity Alicante 42%, draw 28%, Sevilla II 30%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Intercity Alicante) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Intercity Alicante) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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