Gimnastic Tarragona 2-1 Celta Vigo II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 27 Nov 2024

📅27/11/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.56
Over 2.5
46%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.42
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
5.07
6+ Goals
9%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+7.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.7pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Celta Vigo II EU Bookmakers 26%
+12% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +2%
1.60/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/0.96
+8% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +31%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
27.0 Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Celta Vigo II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
21.04.2024 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 1-0 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II İS3
14.01.2024 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II 0-1 HT 0-0 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona
2-1
AWAY Celta Vigo II
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gimnastic Tarragona vs Celta Vigo II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnastic Tarragona squeezed past Celta Vigo II 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gimnastic Tarragona as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Gimnastic Tarragona had 47% of the ball to Celta Vigo II's 53%, shots finished 13-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gimnastic Tarragona had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gimnastic Tarragona and 0.00 for Celta Vigo II.

What was the final score of Gimnastic Tarragona vs Celta Vigo II?

Gimnastic Tarragona 2-1 Celta Vigo II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnastic Tarragona vs Celta Vigo II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnastic Tarragona win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Gimnastic Tarragona 44%, draw 26%, Celta Vigo II 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnastic Tarragona) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gimnastic Tarragona) ✗ Under 2.5
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