Newells Old Boys vs Independiente Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newells Old Boys v Independiente — Team-Based Signals
Newells Old Boys vs Independiente Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Newells Old Boys
ARJ
1-0
HT 0-0
Newells Old Boys
ARJ
1-0
HT 0-0
Independiente
ARJ
1-2
HT 0-2
Independiente
ARJ
2-3
HT 2-1
Newells Old Boys
ARJ
2-2
HT 1-2
Independiente
ARJ
Newells Old Boys 2-1 Independiente — Actual Match Statistics
Newells Old Boys nicked a narrow win over Independiente 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Independiente at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (68%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Newells Old Boys had 35% of the ball to Independiente's 65%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.85 to 1.40.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newells Old Boys had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Newells Old Boys and 1.17 for Independiente.
What was the final score of Newells Old Boys vs Independiente?
Newells Old Boys 2-1 Independiente in the Argentina - Premier League on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newells Old Boys vs Independiente?
Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Newells Old Boys 29%, draw 30%, Independiente 41%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.