CA Sarmiento 1-0 Platense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 27 Nov 2024

📅27/11/2024 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
31%
2.77
Away
41%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.33
Over 2.5
32%
3.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.6
No
61%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
1.75
2-3 Goals
41%
1.98
4-5 Goals
12%
8.89
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.79
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
17.25
X/1
14%
6.19
X/2
20%
4.41
X/X
15%
2.99
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
15%
3.63
2/X
6%
16.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+1.1pp
31%
Draw
33%
-2.4pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+1.3pp
68%
Under 2.5
72%
-3.8pp
32%
Over 2.5
28%
+3.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
34%
+4.9pp
61%
BTTS No
66%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA Sarmiento EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Platense EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.02/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/0.82
-14% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
309 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
19.8 Crosses 14.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA Sarmiento
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Platense
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.71 xG 1.01
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
227 Passes 236
67% Pass Accuracy 68%
15 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 0-1 HT 0-1 Platense Platense ARJ
26.11.2023 Platense Platense 1-0 HT 1-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
09.07.2023 Platense Platense 1-0 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
26.06.2022 Platense Platense 0-0 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
20.02.2022 Platense Platense 2-0 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
28.07.2021 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 1-0 HT 0-0 Platense Platense ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA Sarmiento
1-0
AWAY Platense
1.29 xG 0.39
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
274 Passes 317
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 23
9 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CA Sarmiento vs Platense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA Sarmiento nicked a narrow win over Platense 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Platense at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, CA Sarmiento had 46% of the ball to Platense's 54%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.29 to 0.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Platense led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for CA Sarmiento and 0.83 for Platense.

What was the final score of CA Sarmiento vs Platense?

CA Sarmiento 1-0 Platense in the Argentina - Premier League on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA Sarmiento vs Platense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Platense win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split CA Sarmiento 29%, draw 31%, Platense 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Platense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Platense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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