Kaizer Chiefs 2-1 Richards Bay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 27 Nov 2024

📅27/11/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
28%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.48
Over 2.5
31%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.4
No
63%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
41%
2.22
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
14%
5.73
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.22 — our 41% vs market 38.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-11.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
27%
Away Win
17%
+10.8pp
69%
Under 2.5
64%
+4.8pp
31%
Over 2.5
36%
-4.8pp
37%
BTTS Yes
38%
-0.0pp
63%
BTTS No
62%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kaizer Chiefs EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Richards Bay EU Bookmakers 20%
-11% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -4%
1.27/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.20
-27% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +40%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
351 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
18.9 Crosses 14.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kaizer Chiefs
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Richards Bay
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
2.02 xG 0.79
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
359 Passes 271
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.04.2024 Richards Bay Richards Bay 1-0 HT 0-0 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAFPSL
23.12.2023 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 1-0 HT 1-0 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
04.03.2023 Richards Bay Richards Bay 0-1 HT 0-1 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAFPSL
20.08.2022 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 1-0 HT 0-0 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
07.02.2021 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 1-2 HT 0-1 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAF8K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kaizer Chiefs
2-1
AWAY Richards Bay
2.52 xG 1.10
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
346 Passes 301
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 17
6 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kaizer Chiefs vs Richards Bay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kaizer Chiefs nicked a narrow win over Richards Bay 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kaizer Chiefs as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kaizer Chiefs had 52% of the ball to Richards Bay's 48%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 2.52 to 1.10 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Kaizer Chiefs's control.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kaizer Chiefs had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Kaizer Chiefs and 0.60 for Richards Bay.

What was the final score of Kaizer Chiefs vs Richards Bay?

Kaizer Chiefs 2-1 Richards Bay in the South Afrika - Premier League on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kaizer Chiefs vs Richards Bay?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kaizer Chiefs win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Kaizer Chiefs 45%, draw 27%, Richards Bay 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kaizer Chiefs) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kaizer Chiefs) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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