Mohammedan 1-2 Bengaluru — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 27 Nov 2024

Mohammedan
1-2 HT 1-0
Bengaluru
📅27/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
India - Super League – 2024/2025

Mohammedan vs Bengaluru Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.73
No
59%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.23
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
15%
3.72
6+ Goals
8%
15.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 33% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.6pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
54%
-12.9pp
59%
BTTS No
46%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mohammedan v Bengaluru — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mohammedan EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Bengaluru EU Bookmakers 45%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
0.27/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.25
-62% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
11.0 Crosses 17.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Mohammedan 1-2 Bengaluru — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mohammedan
1-2
AWAY Bengaluru
0.78 xG 1.64
38% Ball Possession 62%
16 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
162 Passes 336
63% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 22
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mohammedan vs Bengaluru
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bengaluru squeezed past Mohammedan 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 39% — and on the day Bengaluru made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mohammedan had 38% of the ball to Bengaluru's 62%, shots finished 16-19, expected goals 0.78 to 1.64.

What was the final score of Mohammedan vs Bengaluru?

Mohammedan 1-2 Bengaluru in the India - Super League on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mohammedan vs Bengaluru?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bengaluru win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mohammedan 36%, draw 24%, Bengaluru 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bengaluru) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bengaluru) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →