Celtic U19 1-0 Club Brugge U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 27 Nov 2024

📅27/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.87
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
45%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.51
Over 2.5
51%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.53
No
52%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
5.35
2-3 Goals
36%
2.0
4-5 Goals
26%
2.72
6+ Goals
11%
6.81
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.35 — our 27% vs market 14.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
22%
+7.8pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.0pp
45%
Away Win
55%
-10.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
36%
+13.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
64%
-13.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
61%
-13.6pp
52%
BTTS No
39%
+13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celtic U19 EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Brugge U19 EU Bookmakers 60%
+62% / +62% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
3.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.31
+120% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +6%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
244 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 82%
9.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celtic U19
1-0
AWAY Club Brugge U19
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Celtic U19 vs Club Brugge U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celtic U19 squeezed past Club Brugge U19 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Club Brugge U19 at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Celtic U19 had 38% of the ball to Club Brugge U19's 62%, shots finished 10-12.

What was the final score of Celtic U19 vs Club Brugge U19?

Celtic U19 1-0 Club Brugge U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celtic U19 vs Club Brugge U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club Brugge U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Celtic U19 30%, draw 25%, Club Brugge U19 45%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Club Brugge U19), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club Brugge U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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