Legia Warszawa U19 0-2 Midtjylland U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 27 Nov 2024

📅27/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.69
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
43%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.46
No
39%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.88
2-3 Goals
40%
2.06
4-5 Goals
28%
2.63
6+ Goals
11%
6.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.02
1/2
5%
19.8
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
14.25
X/1
8%
9.41
X/2
18%
4.48
X/X
14%
6.55
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.18
2/X
4%
14.0
Value flag · 1/X at 14.25 — our 11% vs market 4.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+4.6pp
29%
Draw
22%
+7.1pp
43%
Away Win
54%
-11.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.8pp
61%
BTTS Yes
64%
-2.9pp
39%
BTTS No
36%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Legia Warszawa U19 EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Midtjylland U19 EU Bookmakers 58%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/0.00
-28% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +114% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Legia Warszawa U19
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Midtjylland U19
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 8
24.11.2015 Legia Warszawa U19 Legia Warszawa U19 1-3 HT 0-1 Midtjylland U19 Midtjylland U19 UEGL
04.11.2015 Midtjylland U19 Midtjylland U19 2-0 HT 0-0 Legia Warszawa U19 Legia Warszawa U19 UEGL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Legia Warszawa U19
0-2
AWAY Midtjylland U19
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Legia Warszawa U19 vs Midtjylland U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Midtjylland U19 saw off Legia Warszawa U19 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Midtjylland U19 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Legia Warszawa U19 had 48% of the ball to Midtjylland U19's 52%, shots finished 12-19.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Midtjylland U19 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Legia Warszawa U19 and 2.50 for Midtjylland U19.

What was the final score of Legia Warszawa U19 vs Midtjylland U19?

Legia Warszawa U19 0-2 Midtjylland U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Legia Warszawa U19 vs Midtjylland U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Midtjylland U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Legia Warszawa U19 28%, draw 29%, Midtjylland U19 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Midtjylland U19) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Midtjylland U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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