Ario Eslamshahr 0-1 Saipa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 27 Nov 2025

📅27/11/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
33%
2.77
Away
28%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.33
Over 2.5
31%
3.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.53
No
65%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.3pp
33%
Draw
32%
+0.6pp
28%
Away Win
34%
-5.9pp
69%
Under 2.5
72%
-2.5pp
31%
Over 2.5
28%
+2.5pp
35%
BTTS Yes
36%
-0.1pp
65%
BTTS No
64%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ario Eslamshahr EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Saipa EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -10%
0.68/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/0.88
-31% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
273 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ario Eslamshahr
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Saipa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
16.03.2024 Ario Eslamshahr Ario Eslamshahr 2-0 HT 1-0 Saipa Saipa IRANAZ
14.10.2023 Saipa Saipa 3-0 HT 2-0 Ario Eslamshahr Ario Eslamshahr IRANAZ
10.03.2023 Ario Eslamshahr Ario Eslamshahr 4-0 HT 3-0 Saipa Saipa IRANAZ
11.10.2022 Saipa Saipa 1-0 HT 1-0 Ario Eslamshahr Ario Eslamshahr IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Ario Eslamshahr vs Saipa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saipa edged past Ario Eslamshahr 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 33% / 28% — and on the day Saipa made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (65%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ario Eslamshahr and 1.00 for Saipa.

What was the final score of Ario Eslamshahr vs Saipa?

Ario Eslamshahr 0-1 Saipa in the Iran - Azadegan League on 27/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ario Eslamshahr vs Saipa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ario Eslamshahr win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ario Eslamshahr 39%, draw 33%, Saipa 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ario Eslamshahr) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ario Eslamshahr) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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