Filipinler 2-1 Tayland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFF Championship, 27 Dec 2024

Filipinler
2-1 HT 1-1
Tayland
📅27/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
AFF Championship – 2024

Filipinler vs Tayland Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.71
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
51%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.9
No
45%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
12%
1/X
12%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
18%
+2.1pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.8pp
51%
Away Win
58%
-7.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.9pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Filipinler v Tayland — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Filipinler EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Tayland EU Bookmakers 62%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.62/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/0.99
+37% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +73% / -33%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
240 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 81%
11.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.7
12.4 Crosses 20.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2

Filipinler vs Tayland Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Filipinler
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Tayland
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.47 xG 2.06
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 5
288 Passes 397
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 31
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.10.2024 Tayland Tayland 3-1 HT 0-0 Filipinler Filipinler KRALK
26.12.2022 Tayland Tayland 4-0 HT 2-0 Filipinler Filipinler AFF
14.12.2021 Filipinler Filipinler 1-2 HT 0-1 Tayland Tayland AFF
21.11.2018 Filipinler Filipinler 1-1 HT 0-0 Tayland Tayland AFF

Filipinler 2-1 Tayland — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Filipinler
2-1
AWAY Tayland
0.72 xG 2.71
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 0
290 Passes 411
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
6 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Filipinler vs Tayland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Filipinler squeezed past Tayland 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Tayland at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Filipinler had 42% of the ball to Tayland's 58%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 0.72 to 2.71 — on chances, Tayland could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Tayland led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Filipinler and 2.50 for Tayland.

What was the final score of Filipinler vs Tayland?

Filipinler 2-1 Tayland in the AFF Championship on 27/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Filipinler vs Tayland?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tayland win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Filipinler 20%, draw 29%, Tayland 51%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tayland), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tayland) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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